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KAET-ASU Poll

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Embargoed until June 28th, 7 p.m.
Contact Dr. Bruce Merrill
(480) 965-7051



ARIZONANS CONCERNED ABOUT RISING HOME PRICES BUT DON’T SEE PRICES DROPPING SOON

VOTERS SUPPORT USING STATE AND LOCAL LAW OFFICERS TO ENFORCE FEDERAL IMMIGRATION LAWS

A new statewide telephone poll of 370 registered voters conducted by KAET-TV/Channel 8 and the Walter Cronkite School of Journalism and Mass Communication at Arizona State University June 23 - 26 found that 75 percent of Arizona voters are very (41 percent) or somewhat concerned (34 percent) about the rising cost of buying a home. Twenty-three percent were not at all concerned and 2 percent had no opinion. People under 30, renters and Maricopa County residents tended to be the most concerned about the rising cost of buying a home. Fifteen percent of registered voters said they are considering purchasing a home now before the cost of housing increases further. The younger a person was the more likely they were to consider buying a home at this time. Twenty percent of those interviewed said they believe that they already have been priced out of the home market. People of lower socioeconomic status, younger individuals and women were most likely to say that they are probably already priced out of the housing market. The poll also found that a majority of those interviewed (56 percent) believe home prices will continue to rise. Twenty-nine percent believe prices will level off, 6 percent expect prices will drop and 9 percent had no opinion. When those who felt home prices would drop were asked how soon they thought the decline would occur, 34 percent said within a year or two, 41 percent said within three or four years, and 25 percent thought it would be longer than five years. Investor-owned homes in their neighborhoods were seen as a serious problem by 11 percent of registered voters. Twenty-three percent said it was somewhat of a problem, 57 percent said it was no problem at all and 9 percent had no opinion. The survey also found a majority of voters in Arizona (59 percent) support Gov. Janet Napolitano’s proposal to use state and local law officers to enforce federal immigration laws. Republicans and social conservatives were more likely than Democrats, political independents and moderates to support the proposal. Also, the older a person is the more supportive they were of Napolitano’s proposal. The survey has a sampling error of plus or minus 5.1 percent. Sixty percent of the interviews were conducted in Maricopa County, 16 percent in Pima County, and 24 percent in the less populated counties. The sample was 41 percent Republican, 36 percent Democrat and 23 percent independent. Fifty-two percent of the voters interviewed were female and 48 percent were male.

Question wording

1. First, we would be interested in knowing if you are very concerned, somewhat concerned or not very concerned about the rising cost of buying a home?


1. very concerned 41%
2. somewhat concerned 34
3. not very concerned 23
4. d.k./n.o. 2
  100%

2. Has the rising cost of buying a home caused you personally to consider buying a home now before prices go up so high you could not afford a home?

1. yes 15%
2. no 85
  100%

3. IF NO: Has the rising cost of buying a home caused you to feel that you probably won’t be able to buy a home any time soon because the prices of homes are going up so much?

1. yes 20%
2. no 80
  100%


4. Do you think that the price of homes in your area is

1. likely to continue to rise, 56%
2. likely to level off or 29
3. likely to drop? 6
4. d.k./n.o. 9
  100%


5. IF LIKELY TO DROP: Do you think a decrease is likely to occur

1. within the next year or two, 34%
2. within three or four years or 41
3. it may be five years or more? 25
  100%

 

6. Some people feel that part of the problem of rising home prices stems from people buying homes for investments and renting them or leaving them vacant, hoping prices will go up. In your neigborhood is the number of investor-owned homes a

1. serious problem 11%
2. somewhat of a problem or 23
3. not much of a problem? 57
4. d.k./n.o. 9
  100%

 

7. Now, on another subject, Governor Janet Napolitano has suggested looking at the possibility of using state and local law enforcement officers to enforce federal immigration laws in Arizona.Would you approve or disapprove of using state and local law enforcement officers to enforce federal laws?

1. approve or 59%
2. disapprove 28
3. d.k./n.o. 13
  100%